Tondela will look to build on a 2–0 win over Estrela when they face Santa Clara on Saturday, though the hosts face notable absences. Despite this setback, we predict a 1-0 home win as Santa Clara do not seem to be at their sharpest. Sithole and Cicero are both suspended for the hosts, while forward Makan Aiko is likely to miss out through injury, reducing attacking depth. Even so, Tondela’s overall structure remains competitive: they average 1.00 point per home match, concede just 1.00 goal per game on their own turf, and have scored in 60% of recent home outings. Their xG of 1.06 at home suggests they usually create enough to threaten.
Santa Clara, meanwhile, remain in worrying form with four defeats in their last five and a poor 0.30 points per game overall. Their biggest setback is the suspension of key defender Frederico Venancio, a major blow for a side already conceding 1.83 goals per home match and struggling offensively—failing to score in 60% of league games. Even away from home, the Eagles average only 0.75 goals per match and produce a modest 1.56 xG.
Historically, Tondela have had the upper hand, losing only 4 of 18 meetings, and current momentum further strengthens their position. Given Tondela's better form and home stability, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Tondela to Win to Nil as both sides struggle to score consistently.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Tondela vs Santa Clara prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Tondela 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Tondela vs Santa Clara Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 650 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -211 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka @ 220 Odds
- First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Tondela +0.5 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Tondela +1 @ -188 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -188 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Tondela to Win @ 110 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Tondela to Win/Tondela to Win @ 400 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Tondela - Yes @ 175 Odds
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View OfferTondela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldddw | 0.90 |
| Home | lwldd | 1.00 |
| Away | llldw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.65 | 1.25 |
Santa Clara Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllld | 0.30 |
| Home | dllll | 0.17 |
| Away | dlld | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.22 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.34 | 1.08 |
Tondela vs Santa Clara Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Tondela (39%)
18 Matches
Santa Clara (22%)
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