Arsenal aim to bounce back from a disappointing 3-0 defeat to Brighton when they take on Leeds in the Premier League round 6, with the Gunners determined to keep their 100% home record at home intact. William Saliba remains in the recovery room, while Kai Havertz and Christos Tzolis are both doubtful after picking up knocks during the international break. Arsenal have been prolific on home soil lately, averaging 2.20 goals per game across their last five matches, and they have also dominated this fixture historically, winning 11 of the last 13 meetings.
Leeds, meanwhile, are still unbeaten in the new Premier League season after playing out a goalless draw with Crystal Palace before the international break. The Whites have impressed defensively, conceding just three goals across the opening five rounds, although injuries to Harry Wilson and Joe Rodon leave Daniel Farke with fewer options. Leeds have also been difficult to beat recently, losing just one of their last 10 matches in all competitions, while their last five away games have produced an average of 3.20 goals.
Given Arsenal’s outstanding H2H record and perfect home start, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Bukayo Saka to Score or Assist and Arsenal Over 1.5 goals (2.20-goal home average).
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Arsenal vs Leeds United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arsenal 2 - 0 Leeds United
Arsenal vs Leeds United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kai Havertz @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kai Havertz @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Harry Wilson @ 240 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Arsenal -1 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Arsenal -1 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Arsenal to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Arsenal to Win/Arsenal to Win @ 110 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Arsenal - Yes @ -111 Odds
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View OfferArsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwwwwwwl | 2.20 |
| Home | ldwww | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.01 | 0.97 | 1.06 |
Leeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwddlwd | 1.90 |
| Home | wwdwd | 2.20 |
| Away | dwwdl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.24 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.21 | 1.57 |
Arsenal vs Leeds United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arsenal (85%)
13 Matches
Leeds United (0%)
Arsenal vs Leeds United Past Results
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