Arsenal FC welcome Newcastle United to the Emirates in a highly-anticipated showdown, with the title-chasing Gunners facing a must-win situation. As Newcastle suffered a dip in form, we predict a 3-1 home win. Mikel Arteta's men remain focused on retaining top spot despite a narrow 2-1 defeat to Manchester City, with performances still strong overall (1.40 PPG, 1.72 xG). Selection could be interesting, as Leandro Trossard and Viktor Gyokeres push for starts, while Bukayo Saka remains a major doubt. Defensively, Arsenal have been solid, conceding just 1.00 goal per game and keeping clean sheets in 40% of matches.
Newcastle, meanwhile, are struggling badly (1.00 PPG) and come into this on a three-game losing run after a 2-1 defeat to AFC Bournemouth. Their games have been chaotic, averaging 3.80 total goals, with a huge 90% BTTS rate and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Injury concerns worsen matters, with Valentino Livramento doubtful.
Historically, Arsenal dominate this fixture (27 wins in 38), and with Newcastle leaking goals, the hosts look well-positioned to capitalize.
Considering Arsenal's better form and H2H dominance, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside BTTS, and Over 2.5 goals (45% H2H).
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Arsenal vs Newcastle prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arsenal 3 - 1 Newcastle
Arsenal vs Newcastle Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gabriel Jesus @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gabriel Jesus @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Sandro Tonali @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Arsenal -1 @ -149 Odds
- European Handicap: Newcastle +3 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Arsenal to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Arsenal to Win/Arsenal to Win @ 120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Arsenal - No @ -150 Odds
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View OfferArsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwllwldl | 1.40 |
| Home | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Away | wdlwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.72 | 1.88 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.04 | 1.36 |
Newcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwldwllll | 1.00 |
| Home | wlwldll | 1.00 |
| Away | wll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.57 | 4.33 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.57 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 2.30 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.67 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.51 | 1.90 |
Arsenal vs Newcastle Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arsenal (71%)
38 Matches
Newcastle (18%)
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