Aston Villa will be aiming to return to winning ways after a 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest and protect their place in the Champions League spots. As Sunderland continue to struggle offensively, we predict a 1-0 home win. Villa’s recent form shows steady consistency, averaging 1.40 points per game, with balanced numbers across home and away fixtures. Unai Emery's men score 1.30 goals per match and concede 1.40, with BTTS landing in 60% of games. Their xG (1.32) and xGA (1.32) highlight a well-matched but not dominant profile. However, absences could hurt, with Allyson, Kamara, and Sancho all expected to miss out.
Sunderland, on the other hand, are high on confidence after a 1-0 win over Tottenham and no fresh injury concerns. Their form brings 1.30 points per game, but their biggest issue remains attacking output, scoring just 0.70 goals per match and failing to score in 40% of games. Away from home, the Black Cats are more competitive (50% win rate), but still average under one goal per game. Defensively, they are more stable than Villa, conceding 1.10 per match, though their xGA (1.59) suggests underlying vulnerability.
Given Villa's better attacking quality, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win. Additionally, Aston Villa to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals bets seem appealing due to Sunderland's low scoring and H2H trend (59%).
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Aston Villa 1 - 0 Sunderland
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 650 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Luke O'Nien @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Aston Villa -0.5 @ -138 Odds
- European Handicap: Aston Villa +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Aston Villa to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Aston Villa to Win/Aston Villa to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Aston Villa - Yes @ 137 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
You can place your bets on Aston Villa vs Sunderland at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwlwwlwd | 1.40 |
| Home | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Away | lwlwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.43 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.38 |
Sunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwldwllww | 1.30 |
| Home | lllw | 0.75 |
| Away | lwdwlw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.31 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.61 |
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Aston Villa (41%)
22 Matches
Sunderland (18%)
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Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
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Nottingham Forest
Braga
Freiburg
Leeds United
Burnley
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Heidenheim
