Bournemouth host Burnley in what promises to be an end-to-end encounter at the Vitality Stadium. Given Burnley's dreadful losing run, our prediction points toward a 3-1 home win. The Cherries have been erratic at home, scoring 1.4 goals per game but conceding just 0.8, while Tyler Adams’ injury could see Alex Scott slot in without disrupting the lineup too much.
The Clarets, on the other hand, are in a worrying slump, having lost their last seven matches and averaging just 0.6 points per game. Their away form isn’t much better, but their matches tend to be high-scoring, conceding 2.4 goals per match on the road. The fact that both Kyle Walker and Lucas Pires are back from suspension is unlikely to help the visitors shock Bournemouth at Vitality Stadium.
Historically, this fixture has produced goals, with 64% of their 14 H2H clashes ending with both teams scoring and 64% seeing over 2.5 goals. Therefore, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for this matchup, alongside Home Win and BTTS.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 20 December 2025 at 15:00.
What is our Bournemouth vs Burnley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bournemouth 3 - 1 Burnley
Bournemouth vs Burnley Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Eli Junior Kroupi @ 100 Odds
- To be booked: Luis Florentino @ 210 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferBournemouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlldd | 1.00 |
| Home | wwdld | 1.60 |
| Away | dllld | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 2.20 | 5.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 0.80 | 3.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.71 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.60 | 1.19 | 2.02 |
Burnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllll | 0.60 |
| Home | wllll | 0.60 |
| Away | lwlll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 20% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.39 | 1.78 |
Bournemouth vs Burnley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bournemouth (36%)
14 Matches
Burnley (50%)
