Brentford enter this clash after a confidence-boosting 3-2 win over Newcastle, continuing a strong run that has seen them collect 2.20 points per game overall and win 70% of their recent fixtures. However, we predict a 2-1 away win as Arsenal are on the right track to win their first Premier League trophy since 2004. Thomas Frank’s side remain competitive at home, conceding just 0.75 goals per match and keeping 50% clean sheets. Their expected goals and xGA numbers (both 1.50) suggest balanced performances, though scoring reliability can dip—Brentford failed to net in 50% of their home outings. They will be without Kevin Schade, suspended, while his absence is softened by recent goalscoring depth.
Arsenal travel in excellent form, winning four of their last five, with their away performances particularly strong (2.60 PPG and 2.80 goals scored per match). Mikel Arteta’s team combine efficient finishing (3.20 goals per game) with a resilient defence that keeps 50% clean sheets. Their expected goals against stands at a low 1.02, reflecting their control in most matches. New signing Viktor Gyökeres is pushing for a start after a brace off the bench, but Leandro Trossard is a major doubt for the Gunners.
Arsenal have dominated this matchup historically, winning 8 of 11 meetings. Given their strong away form and H2H dominance, Away Win should be considered, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Arsenal Over 1.5.
This Premier League match will be played on Thursday 12 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Brentford vs Arsenal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Brentford 1 - 2 Arsenal
Brentford vs Arsenal Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Michael Kayode @ 240 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Arsenal -0.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Brentford +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Arsenal to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Arsenal to Win/Arsenal to Win @ 160 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Brentford vs Arsenal?
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View OfferBrentford Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllww | 2.20 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | wwlww | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.41 | 1.56 |
Arsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwww | 2.30 |
| Home | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Away | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 0.89 | 1.15 |
Brentford vs Arsenal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Brentford (9%)
11 Matches
Arsenal (73%)
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Newcastle
Everton
Liverpool
West Ham
Burnley
Barcelona
Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
