Brighton look to build on their impressive FA Cup win at Old Trafford, with Diego Gomez fit again and Fabian Hurzeler reporting no fresh injury concerns. As both Brighton and Bournemouth look sharp up front, a high-scoring 2-2 draw is on the horizon. The Seagulls’ recent league form has been mixed (ldwdw), but their underlying numbers remain encouraging. At home, Brighton average 1.50 goals scored and keep 50% clean sheets, while generating a strong 1.90 expected goals, suggesting they often create more than their final tally reflects. Defensively, they concede 1.25 per home match, contributing to a 50% BTTS rate at the Amex.
The Cherries, meanwhile, continue to struggle for consistency. Enes Unal limped off in FA Cup action, but he is not a regular starter. The Cherries have won just 10% of their recent league games and remain poor travellers, with 0% away wins and 3.20 goals conceded per away match. Despite that, Bournemouth do carry attacking threat, scoring 2.40 goals per away match and posting a perfect 100% BTTS away record, backed by a high 2.14 expected goals on the road.
Head-to-head, goals are common, with 86% of meetings producing over 1.5 goals. As both teams’ averages and H2H trends favour goals, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting pick, alongside BTTS.
This Premier League match will be played on Monday 19 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Brighton vs Bournemouth prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Brighton 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Brighton vs Bournemouth Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Danny Welbeck @ 100 Odds
- To be booked: Alex Scott @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferBrighton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwdw | 1.30 |
| Home | lddw | 1.25 |
| Away | llddw | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.90 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.75 | 1.45 | 1.94 |
Bournemouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwd | 0.80 |
| Home | lddlw | 1.00 |
| Away | ldldd | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 2.60 | 5.60 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 2.30 | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 1.26 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.69 | 1.33 | 2.04 |
Brighton vs Bournemouth Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Brighton (33%)
21 Matches
Bournemouth (48%)
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