Burnley will look to finally snap a five-game losing run when they host Aston Villa, though relegation has already been confirmed. Anyhow, we predict a 2-1 away win as quality and motivation are on Villa's side Despite a spirited second-half showing in a 3-1 loss to Leeds, Burnley's overall form remains dire (0.20 points per game), with no wins in their last ten and a defence conceding 2.20 goals per match. The Clarets have been especially vulnerable at home, shipping 1.80 goals on average while scoring just 0.80. There is still some competition for places, with Hannibal Mejbri and Lucas Pires pushing for inclusion, but consistency has been missing all season.
Aston Villa, meanwhile, are in a much stronger position, pushing toward Champions League qualification despite a 2-1 Europa League defeat to Tottenham after rotating heavily. Their form remains solid (1.60 points per game), and the Villa's average 1.80 goals scored with a strong 2.33 per game at home translating into good attacking depth overall. Emiliano Buendia could start after scoring off the bench, adding creativity to a Villa side that remains superior in quality and structure.
Considering Aston Villa's clear quality and motivation gap, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Away Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (Burnley’s leaky defence).
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00.
What is our Burnley vs Aston Villa prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Luis Florentino @ 260 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Burnley +1.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Aston Villa +1 @ -600 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Aston Villa to Win @ -550 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Aston Villa to Win/Aston Villa to Win @ 130 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Aston Villa - No @ -163 Odds
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View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlldlllll | 0.20 |
| Home | lldll | 0.20 |
| Away | dllll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.40 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.79 | 1.91 | 1.67 |
Aston Villa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwdwwlll | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | wdll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.36 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.18 | 1.58 |
Burnley vs Aston Villa Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burnley (14%)
14 Matches
Aston Villa (50%)
Burnley vs Aston Villa Past Results
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