Saturday's football game at Turf Moor pits together Burnley and Bournemouth, the two teams with entirely different ambitions. Our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win as Burnley continue to struggle at the back. The relegation-threatened hosts are looking to bounce back after a 2-0 loss to Everton, with James Ward-Prowse expected to return to the starting XI. Their home form has been patchy, winning only 20% of home matches, but 4.4 average goals per game at Turf Moor indicate entertaining affairs. Burnley have failed to keep a clean sheet at home this season, conceding 2.2 goals per game, so their defense will be tested.
Bournemouth, sitting ninth and eyeing European competition, are unbeaten in their last two away matches and have scored consistently, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Injuries to Lewis Cook and Justin Kluivert are notable, but pacey winger Rayan could exploit Burnley’s leaky back-line. H2H stats suggest an open contest: 14 of the last 15 meetings saw over 1.5 goals, with BTTS in 67% of encounters.
Given Bournemouth's superior form and Burnley's shaky defence, we are tempted to place our bets on Away Win, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals and Bournemouth Over 1.5.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Burnley vs Bournemouth prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Burnley vs Bournemouth Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Eli Junior Kroupi @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Eli Junior Kroupi @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Alex Scott @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bournemouth -0.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Bournemouth +3 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Bournemouth to Win @ -300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Bournemouth to Win/Bournemouth to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Bournemouth - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Burnley vs Bournemouth?
You can place your bets on Burnley vs Bournemouth at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddllwldll | 0.90 |
| Home | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Away | dlwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.68 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.79 | 1.55 | 2.02 |
Bournemouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwwdwddd | 1.80 |
| Home | wwddd | 1.80 |
| Away | ddwwd | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.66 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.62 | 1.23 | 2.01 |
Burnley vs Bournemouth Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burnley (47%)
15 Matches
Bournemouth (33%)
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