Burnley face Brighton in a crucial Premier League encounter, with the hosts desperate to keep their survival hopes alive. However, Burnley’s form is worrying, collecting just 0.60 points per game from their last 10 matches and failing to win any of their last five home outings (DLLLD). They are conceding heavily, averaging 2.10 goals allowed per match, while BTTS has landed in 60% of their games. Brighton arrive in better spirits after a 2-1 win over Liverpool, but consistency remains an issue, with a mixed run (LDLLLWWLWW). Midfielder Josh Laurent is banned for the hosts and should be sorely missed.
The Seagulls average just 0.90 goals scored per game, though they remain defensively more solid than Burnley, conceding 1.10 on average. Interestingly, only 29% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, and just 48% of H2H meetings have seen both teams score. With both sides missing key players and struggling for consistency, this could be a cagey affair decided by small details. Defender Lewis Dunk is banned for the match.
Given Burnley's poor form and Brighton's Europa League ambitions, our prediction firmly points toward Away Win, alongside BTTS (48% H2H) and Over 9.5 corners.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Burnley vs Brighton prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 1 - 2 Brighton
Burnley vs Brighton Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Danny Welbeck @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Danny Welbeck @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Brighton -0.5 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Burnley +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Brighton to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Brighton to Win/Brighton to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Brighton - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Burnley vs Brighton?
You can place your bets on Burnley vs Brighton at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwldlldl | 0.60 |
| Home | dllld | 0.40 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.68 | 1.65 | 1.71 |
Brighton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlllwwlww | 1.30 |
| Home | dlwlw | 1.40 |
| Away | lllww | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.13 | 1.42 |
Burnley vs Brighton Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burnley (24%)
21 Matches
Brighton (29%)
Sporting
Arsenal
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
PSG
Liverpool
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ
Mainz
Strasbourg
