With both Chelsea and Arsenal being expected to adopt a cautious approach in the North London derby, we predict that they will play out a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge on Matchday 13. The Blues are brimming with confidence following a 3-0 Champions League win over Barcelona, with the team keeping four clean sheets in the last five games in all competitions (80%). With influential attacker Cole Palmer remaining in the recovery room, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for the local derby.
The Gunners, on the other hand, have been impressive at the back this season, with the team keeping a clean sheet in 75% of their 10 ten Premier League fixtures. Even though main striker Viktor Gyokeres could recover in time to face Chelsea, we are unlikely to see a high-scoring affair at Stamford Bridge, especially with both sides aiming not to lose the derby. Midfielder Martin Odegaard is rated doubtful for Sunday’s showdown as well.
As previously mentioned, there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw as Chelsea and Arsenal have shared the spoils in 2 of their last 4 encounters.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 30 November 2025 at 16:30.
What is our Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal
Chelsea vs Arsenal Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 187 Odds
- To be booked: Christian Norgaard @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferChelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwww | 2.50 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.89 | 2.09 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.89 | 0.72 | 1.07 |
Arsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdw | 2.80 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.67 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.30 | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.87 | 0.96 | 0.74 |
Chelsea vs Arsenal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Chelsea (38%)
45 Matches
Arsenal (38%)
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