Saturday’s Premier League game at Stamford Bridge pits together Chelsea and Burnley, the two teams with entirely different ambitions for the season finale. As Chelsea have a chance to climb to the Champions League berth, we predict a 3-1 home win. The Blues faced no difficulties in a 4-0 FA Cup win over Hull City and they now aim to return to winning ways in the national championship following an unlucky 2-2 draw with Leeds United. The fact that there are no fresh injury worries in the home team supports our betting angle. You should know that Chelsea have been scoring 2.00 goals per game at home of late.
Burnley, on the other hand, suffered a shocking 2-1 loss to Mansfield in the FA Cup last 32, but their Premier League triumph at Palace (3-2) is surely fueling fans with optimism ahead of upcoming challenges. However, away win should not be considered as the Clarets have been conceding 2.00 goals per game on the road of late. The good news for the visitors is that midfielder Hannibal Mejbri has overcome his minor injury.
Burnley are not regarded as good travellers and given Chelsea’s Champions League ambitions and better H2H record (68% wins), Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Chelsea Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (74% H2H).
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Chelsea vs Burnley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Chelsea 3 - 1 Burnley
Chelsea vs Burnley Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cole Palmer @ -120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Cole Palmer @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Luis Florentino @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Chelsea -1.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Chelsea -1 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -900 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Chelsea to Win @ -2000 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Chelsea to Win/Chelsea to Win @ -150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Chelsea - No @ -120 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Chelsea vs Burnley?
You can place your bets on Chelsea vs Burnley at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferChelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdw | 2.20 |
| Home | lwwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.71 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.19 |
Burnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwl | 0.90 |
| Home | dwdll | 0.83 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.83 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.57 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.98 | 1.83 | 2.20 |
Chelsea vs Burnley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Chelsea (68%)
19 Matches
Burnley (5%)
Bayern Munich
Monchengladbach
PSG
Monaco
Napoli
Torino
Wolves
Liverpool
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
Mansfield
Arsenal
