Leeds United look to bounce back from FA Cup heartbreak against Chelsea as they host already-relegated Burnley on Friday evening. As Burnley are having a season to forget, we predict a routine 2-0 home win. With four games remaining, Leeds aim to finish strongly, and their defensive numbers offer encouragement—conceding just 0.80 goals per game and keeping 40% clean sheets. Despite inconsistent form, the Whites remain solid at Elland Road, allowing only 0.40 goals per home match. Midfielder Ilia Gruev is the only absentee.
Burnley, meanwhile, have struggled badly, with the team averaging just 0.50 points per game while conceding 2.10 goals per match. Injuries to players such as Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni, and Josh Cullen further weaken an already fragile side. Their away matches tend to be open, averaging 3.60 total goals with BTTS hitting 80%.
Given Leeds United's stronger defense and motivation, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 goals and Leeds to Win to Nil as their games are controlled.
This Premier League match will be played on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Leeds United vs Burnley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Leeds United 2 - 0 Burnley
Leeds United vs Burnley Betting Tips
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin @ -120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin @ 300 Odds
- To be Booked: Quilindschy Hartman @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Burnley +2.5 @ -364 Odds
- European Handicap: Burnley +3 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Leeds to Win @ -800 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Leeds - No @ -150 Odds
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View OfferLeeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdddwwdl | 1.30 |
| Home | llwdw | 1.40 |
| Away | ddwdl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.69 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 0.99 | 1.74 |
Burnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldlldllll | 0.50 |
| Home | lldll | 0.20 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.78 | 1.91 | 1.65 |
Leeds United vs Burnley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Leeds United (44%)
18 Matches
Burnley (33%)
Leeds United vs Burnley Past Results
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