Leeds return to Elland Road hoping to return to winning ways following an unlucky defeat at Man City, but given Chelsea's form in November, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Leeds's home numbers remain modest: 1.00 PPG, 0 clean sheets, and a tendency toward chaotic matches with 3.25 goals per game and BTTS in 100% of their home fixtures. James Justin is a major doubt, but the defender should not have started regardless.
The Blues arrive in strong form, unbeaten in five and producing an impressive 2.60 PPG away from home, scoring 2.40 goals per match on the road while keeping 60% clean sheets. Their statistical balance—high scoring output combined with low goals conceded—makes them one of the most reliable away sides at the moment. The main issue for the visitors is the suspension of Moises Caicedo, whose absence affects Chelsea’s ball recovery and defensive midfield discipline. Key player, though, Cole Palmer should recover in time to face Leeds.
Historically, Chelsea have dominated this matchup: 6 wins in 8 H2H meetings and 75% of those games produced Over 2.5 goals. Even with Caicedo unavailable, Away Win should be considered, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals.
This Premier League match will be played on Wednesday 3 December 2025 at 20:15.
What is our Leeds United vs Chelsea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Leeds United 1 - 2 Chelsea
Leeds United vs Chelsea Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Cole Palmer @ 120 Odds
- To be booked: Sebastiaan Bornauw @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLeeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllll | 0.70 |
| Home | dlwl | 1.00 |
| Away | wllll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.17 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.64 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.29 | 1.51 |
Chelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwd | 2.30 |
| Home | wlwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwdw | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.86 | 2.02 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.89 | 0.71 | 1.07 |
Leeds United vs Chelsea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Leeds United (13%)
8 Matches
Chelsea (75%)
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