Leeds United will try to recover from a 1-0 loss to Man City as they welcome Sunderland to their Elland Road. With the two teams often sharing the spoils in the past meetings, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Whites failed to upset Pep Guardiola’s troops at the weekend, but their performance was anything but poor (1.49 expected goals). Daniel Farke’s men, though, have been scoring only 1.00 goals per home game of late, meaning that a low-scoring affair is on the cards. Former Milan striker Noah Okafor should be the only absentee in the home team.
The Black Cats, on the other hand, head into the midweek clash following a 1-1 draw with Bournemouth. The fact that Sunderland have been scoring only 0.67 goals per away game of late definitely goes in favour of our betting prediction. Important attacker Brian Brobbey miss out with injury, boosting the chances of our tip landing.
Leeds United and Sunderland have shared the spoils in three of their last four meetings in all competitions. Given their recent low-scoring trends, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Half-Time Draw, and Draw.
This Premier League match will be played on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Leeds United vs Sunderland prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Leeds United 1 - 1 Sunderland
Leeds United vs Sunderland Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Luke O'Nien @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sunderland +1 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Sunderland +1 @ -106 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -106 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Leeds - No @ -163 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Leeds United vs Sunderland?
You can place your bets on Leeds United vs Sunderland at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferLeeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdlwdddl | 1.30 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | lwdddd | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 70% | 25% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.23 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.56 | 1.68 |
Sunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwlwllwld | 1.10 |
| Home | wwll | 1.50 |
| Away | ldllwd | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.75 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.25 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.19 | 1.70 |
Leeds United vs Sunderland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Leeds United (25%)
8 Matches
Sunderland (25%)
