Newcastle aim to recover from an unlucky Tyne-and-Wear derby defeat, but with Chelsea looking sharp at the moment, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Magpies suffered a 1-0 loss to Sunderland in the local derby, with big-money signing Nick Woltemade scoring a strange own goal. Eddie Howe’s men, though, are tough to beat at home and you should know that they have been scoring 2.00 goals per game at their St. James’ Park. Towering defender Dan Burn is likely to miss out with injury, winger Jacob Murphy should be recalled to the starting XI.
The Blues, on the other hand, aim to build on a 2-0 win over Everton. Chelsea, though, have been scoring only 1.17 goals per game on the road, which is probably the main reason why away win should not be considered. Their expected goals against away of 1.03, though, is giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of the trip to Newcastle. The good news for the visitors is that midfielder Moises Caicedo is back from suspension.
As Newcastle and Chelsea seem to be evenly matched at the moment, we are tempted to bet on Draw. Additionally, Over 9.5 corners and Over 1.5 goals bets boast big value as 2 or more goals have been netted in 86% of their last 37 encounters.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 20 December 2025 at 12:30.
What is our Newcastle vs Chelsea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 1 - 1 Chelsea
Newcastle vs Chelsea Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Wesley Fofana @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwdl | 1.40 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | llwdl | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.56 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.30 | 1.61 |
Chelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlww | 1.80 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | wldlw | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.76 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 0.84 | 1.28 |
Newcastle vs Chelsea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (30%)
37 Matches
Chelsea (51%)
Fulham
Middlesbrough
Man City
Exeter
Bournemouth
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Derby
Leeds United
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