Newcastle come into this fixture with confidence after a solid 3–1 win over Burnley, and importantly, no fresh injury concerns emerged from that game. Therefore, we predict that they will defeated Crystal Palace 2-1 on Sunday afternoon. Eddie Howe’s side continue to be far more reliable at St James’ Park, where they average 3.50 total goals per game, score 2.00 goals per match, and boast a 100% BTTS rate at home. Despite failing to keep a clean sheet all season, Newcastle’s attacking consistency is backed up by their 1.80 home xG, while their xGA of just 1.06 suggests they limit the quality of chances they concede on home soil. With 2.00 points per game at home and a strong recent run, the Magpies look well placed to control large spells of this contest.
The Eagles, meanwhile, arrive on Tyneside weakened by a combination of injuries and suspensions, having settled for a 1–1 draw with Fulham in midweek. While their away form has been surprisingly strong on paper (60% win rate, 2.00 points per game), those numbers mask a side that still concedes chances regularly, as reflected by a 1.65 xGA away from home. Palace score more freely on their travels (1.60 goals per game) and have failed to score in 0% of away matches, but defensive fragility remains an issue, particularly against high-tempo attacking sides like Newcastle.
Given Newcastle's home PPG of 2.00 and Palace’s defensive issues and absentees, Home WIn should be considered, with additional value on Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Newcastle vs Crystal Palace prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ 110 Odds
- To be booked: Jefferson Lerma @ 120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdlw | 1.50 |
| Home | dwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | wdllw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.76 | 1.80 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.06 | 1.44 |
Crystal Palace Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldld | 1.20 |
| Home | lldld | 0.40 |
| Away | wwwld | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.50 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.18 | 1.65 |
Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (46%)
26 Matches
Crystal Palace (19%)
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