There will be fireworks in the Tyne–Wear derby, with Newcastle coming into this clash after a demanding Champions League encounter with Barcelona. Anyhow, we predict a 2-1 home win as the Magpies have turned their St. James' Park into a real fortress. Newcastle’s home numbers show goal-heavy matches (3.8 average goals per game) and BTTS hitting 100%, while defensively they’ve struggled at St James’ Park with 0% clean sheets. Their expected goals of 1.70 at home underline strong creation but occasional wastefulness. Jacob Ramsey returns from suspension, Sandro Tonali is fit again, but Bruno Guimaraes remains out.
Sunderland’s away form is inconsistent, winning 33% of matches and scoring just 0.67 per game. Still, they keep 33% clean sheets on the road and allow only 1.33 goals per match, showing they can be compact. But failing to score in 33% of away games is a concern heading into a derby of this magnitude. As before, a man to watch in the away team will be midfielder Granit Xhaka, while the Black Cats hope Daniel Ballard can shake off a knock picked up in the 1-0 defeat to Brighton.
Newcastle's firepower at home and Sunderland’s low scoring rate away tilt the match in favour of the hosts. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Over 2.5 goals (Newcastle’s matches average nearly 4 goals overall) and Over 4.5 yellow cards (big derby).
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00.
What is our Newcastle vs Sunderland prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Newcastle 2 - 1 Sunderland
Newcastle vs Sunderland Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Yoane Wissa @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Yoane Wissa @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Luke O'Nien @ 137 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Newcastle -0.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Newcastle +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Newcastle to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Newcastle to Win/Newcastle to Win @ 162 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Newcastle - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Newcastle vs Sunderland?
You can place your bets on Newcastle vs Sunderland at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferNewcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwlwldw | 1.90 |
| Home | wlwld | 1.40 |
| Away | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.75 | 1.70 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.48 | 1.43 |
Sunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllwldwll | 1.00 |
| Home | wlll | 0.75 |
| Away | llwdwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.33 | 1.58 |
Newcastle vs Sunderland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Newcastle (22%)
18 Matches
Sunderland (44%)
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