As both Sunderland and Newcastle are likely to adopt a cautious approach in the Tyne-Wear derby, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. The Black Cats have been impressive at home ground this season, with the team scoring 2.00 goals per game at their Stadium of Light. The likes of Ali Alese, Dennis Cirkin, Leo Fuhr Hjelde, and Habib Diarra remain in the treatment room, but boss Regis Le Bris can count on key players for the local derby.
The Magpies, on the other hand, have won only 1 of their last 4 away games, with both sides finding the net in each of those outings. However, their expected goals of 1.55 on the road is surely giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of the trip to Sunderland. The likes of William Osula, Sven Botman, Nick Pope, and Kieran Trippier will miss the Tyne-Wear derby, but star players are available for selection.
Given the high tension and typically fierce challenges in the Sunderland–Newcastle derby, our main betting pick is Over 5.5 Yellow Cards. Additionally, Over 1.5 Yellow Cards First Half and Half-Time Draw bets seem interesting.
This Premier League match will be played on Sunday 14 December 2025 at 14:00.
What is our Sunderland vs Newcastle prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sunderland 1 - 1 Newcastle
Sunderland vs Newcastle Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ 160 Odds
- To be booked: Granit Xhaka @ 100 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferSunderland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdl | 1.50 |
| Home | wddw | 2.00 |
| Away | lwldl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.09 | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.98 | 1.68 | 2.18 |
Newcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwdw | 2.67 |
| Away | lllw | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.83 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.83 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.35 | 1.76 |
Sunderland vs Newcastle Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sunderland (41%)
17 Matches
Newcastle (24%)
Fulham
Middlesbrough
Man City
Exeter
Bournemouth
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Derby
Leeds United
Swansea
West Bromwich
