Tottenham will look to build on a valuable 2-1 win over Aston Villa as they host Leeds United, aiming to edge closer to Premier League survival. As Leeds are safe for now, our prediction firmly points toward a 3-1 home win. Spurs’ recent form has been inconsistent (1.10 points per game), but their matches are rarely dull, averaging 3.30 total goals, including a high 4.00 at home. Defensive issues remain a concern, with 2.00 goals conceded per game and clean sheets in just 10% of their last ten. Injuries could also play a role, with both Richarlison and Rodrigo Bentancur doubtful.
Leeds, meanwhile, arrive in better shape (1.60 points per game) after a 3-1 win over Burnley, and Daniel Farke’s side have shown improved defensive stability, conceding just 0.80 goals per match. While their away form is modest, they remain competitive and capable of exploiting Tottenham’s defensive gaps. Head-to-head history strongly points toward goals, with all of the last eight meetings producing over 2.5 goals and 75% seeing both teams score.
Tottenham have slight edge at home despite inconsistency. As Spurs want this win more than Leeds United, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (H2H trend).
This Premier League match will be played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Tottenham vs Leeds United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Tottenham 2 - 1 Leeds United
Tottenham vs Leeds United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Richarlison @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Richarlison @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Kevin Danso @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Tottenham -0.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Tottenham +1 @ -500 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Tottenham to Win @ -300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Tottenham to Win/Tottenham to Win @ 187 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Tottenham - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferTottenham Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldwlldww | 1.10 |
| Home | lwld | 1.00 |
| Away | lldlww | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.65 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.37 | 1.35 |
Leeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdddwwdlw | 1.60 |
| Home | lwdww | 2.00 |
| Away | ddwdl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 0.86 | 1.76 |
Tottenham vs Leeds United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Tottenham (75%)
8 Matches
Leeds United (25%)
Tottenham vs Leeds United Past Results
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