There will be fireworks when Deportivo Alaves host Athletic Bilbao in a fiercely contested Basque derby. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw. Alaves come into the clash after a 2–1 win over Mallorca, but their overall form remains shaky, collecting just 1.10 points per game. Their matches have been extremely open, averaging a huge 3.80 goals, with a remarkable 90% BTTS rate and no clean sheets in their last 10 outings. Doubts over forwards Toni Martinez and Lucas Boye could limit their attacking edge.
Athletic Bilbao, meanwhile, are looking to bounce back from a 3–2 loss to Atletico Madrid but have struggled badly on the road, picking up just 0.20 points per game away from home and failing to win any of their last five away fixtures. The Lions have also scored just 0.60 goals per game on their travels, though the return of Mikel Jauregizar adds some balance in midfield.
Given Alaves’ extremely high BTTS rate and Bilbao's hunger for a win, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score. Additionally, Over 4.5 yellow cards and Over 1.5 yellow cards first half bets should be considered (tense local derby).
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Alaves 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Antonio Martinez @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Antonio Martinez @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Ibrahim Diabate @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Barcelona -1.75 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: CD Alaves +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Athletic Club - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferAlaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlldwddlw | 1.10 |
| Home | dddw | 1.50 |
| Away | dllwdl | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.25 | 4.17 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.57 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.09 | 1.80 |
Athletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlllwllwl | 1.00 |
| Home | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Away | dllll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.58 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 0.98 | 1.37 |
Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Alaves (26%)
19 Matches
Athletic Bilbao (37%)
Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao Past Results
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