What is our Alaves vs Malaga prediction?
Alaves
1 - 0
Malaga
Our prediction for this match: Alaves 1 - 0 Malaga
Alaves vs Malaga Preview
Alaves will be eager to get back on course when they face Malaga in Friday’s La Liga round 10 opener. The Babazorros have gone five games without a win, losing four of their last five league outings, including a 2-1 defeat at Celta Vigo. Novoa Ramos is pushing for a starting spot after scoring off the bench, while Angel Perez returns from suspension. Despite their recent struggles, Alaves have been considerably more effective on home soil, averaging 2.00 goals per game there.
Malaga, meanwhile, are still searching for their first league victory after suffering a heavy 5-2 loss to Real Sociedad at the weekend. Los Boquerones have struggled at both ends of the pitch, with injuries to Cruz, Lobete and Murillo adding to their problems. Their away form is particularly concerning, as they have scored just 0.25 goals per game on the road and conceded 2.00 on average.
Given Malaga’s lack of attacking threat and Alaves’ stronger home record, the hosts have a good opportunity to return to winning ways. Therefore, Alaves to Win is our main betting tip, alongside Under 3.5 goals and Alaves to Win to Nil.
This Primera Division match will be played on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Fri 23 Oct 2026, 20:00UK time
Alaves vs Malaga Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Alaves 1-0 Malaga | 11/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/4 | |
| Draw No Bet: CD Alaves | 2/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: CD Alaves / CD Alaves | 6/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: CD Alaves -0.5 | 5/8 | |
| European Handicap: Malaga +2 | 2/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Lucas Boye | 11/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Lucas Boye | 7/2 | |
| To be Booked: Jose Salinas | 8/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 12/5 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/10 | |
| CD Alaves Clean Sheet: Yes | 11/10 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferAlaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwwlldll | 1.20 |
| Home | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Away | ddldl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.39 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.51 | 1.23 |
Malaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldlddlldl | 0.50 |
| Home | dddldl | 0.67 |
| Away | lldl | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.17 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.17 | 0.25 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.34 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.65 | 1.41 | 2.00 |
Alaves vs Malaga Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Alaves (67%)
6 Matches
Malaga (17%)
Alaves vs Malaga Past Results
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