What is our Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Alaves
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Our prediction for this match: Alaves 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Preview
Alaves aim to build on back-to-back impressive wins over Barcelona and Oviedo as they close out a successful La Liga campaign, having already secured survival. As both Alaves and Rayo Vallecano look solid at the back, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Basques have been one of the more entertaining mid-table sides in recent weeks, averaging 3.5 goals per game across their last ten matches while scoring in every single one. Their attacking output has been steady at home as well, where they remain unbeaten in three of their last five. No fresh injury worries give them stability heading into the final round.
Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, arrive after a 2-0 win over Villarreal, keeping their European hopes alive with a push for continental qualification. However, attention may already be partly divided with a Conference League final against Crystal Palace looming. Midfielder Unai Lopez is suspended, a key absence in the middle of the pitch for a side that relies heavily on control and transitions. Rayo have been strong defensively this season, conceding just 1.1 goals per game, but their away form remains less convincing.
As only 10% of H2H meetings cleared this line, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Draw bets seem tempting.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday, 23 May 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Sat 23 May 2026, 20:00UK time
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Alaves 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | 5/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 4/6 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 15/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: Rayo Vallecano +0.5 | 27/40 | |
| European Handicap: Rayo Vallecano +1 | 10/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Lucas Boye | 8/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Lucas Boye | 9/2 | |
| To be Booked: Abdul Mumin | 8/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/12 | |
| CD Alaves Clean Sheet: No | 4/9 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferAlaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwddlwldww | 1.60 |
| Home | ddwlw | 1.60 |
| Away | wdldw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.30 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.02 | 1.58 |
Rayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdwwwddw | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwdw | 2.20 |
| Away | llwwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.77 | 2.14 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.55 |
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Alaves (40%)
10 Matches
Rayo Vallecano (60%)
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Past Results
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