Alaves are under big pressure as they battle to avoid relegation, following a narrow 3-2 defeat to Valencia. As the Basques head into Friday's game against Villarreal with a severely-weakened squad, we predict a 2-1 away win. Suspensions to key players Guevara and Pacheco weaken their midfield and goalkeeping options, leaving Alaves vulnerable at the back. At home, they have picked up 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.60 goals on average, but their xGA of 1.46 highlights defensive frailties. Clean sheets are rare, only 20% at home, so goals are likely in this encounter.
Villarreal travel with confidence after a 2-1 win over Elche and sit among the Champions League contenders. Defender Pau Navarro is doubtful, but Marcelino’s squad depth should cover. The Yellow Submarine average 1.80 goals scored per game at home, and 3.20 goals overall per match, with 70% BTTS across fixtures. Their away form is inconsistent, averaging 0.80 points per match, which could allow Alaves to find spaces.
Villarreal are a stronger side despite Alaves home advantage. Therefore, we are tempted to place our bets on Away Win, with additional value on Both Teams to Score (76% H2H), and Over 2.5 goals (76%).
This Primera Division match will be played on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Alaves vs Villarreal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Alaves 1 - 2 Villarreal
Alaves vs Villarreal Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ayoze Perez @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ayoze Perez @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Ibrahim Diabate @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Villarreal 0 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Villarreal +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Villarreal to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Villarreal to Win/Villarreal to Win @ 250 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Villarreal - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Alaves vs Villarreal?
You can place your bets on Alaves vs Villarreal at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAlaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwllddll | 1.10 |
| Home | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.56 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.46 | 1.80 |
Villarreal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldwlwwlw | 1.30 |
| Home | llwww | 1.80 |
| Away | ldlwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.43 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.44 | 1.71 |
Alaves vs Villarreal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Alaves (47%)
17 Matches
Villarreal (41%)
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