Estadio San Mames will be packed when Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid go head to head in La Liga round 4. Athletic will be looking to build on a convincing 2-0 victory over Celta Vigo, a game in which they created an impressive 2.78 xG. Nico Williams started on the bench on that occasion, but the Spain international is now pushing for a place in the starting XI. There are no fresh injury concerns for Ernesto Valverde’s side, who have won 63% of their last eight away games but are still searching for their first home victory of the campaign.
Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, looked sharp in a comfortable 3-1 triumph over a Sevilla side weakened by several important departures. Diego Simeone’s men have plenty of attacking firepower, with Alex Baena and Ademola Lookman impressing in the front line. Julian Alvarez is unlikely to feature amid his transfer saga with Barcelona, while summer signing Kasper Hjulmand should retain his place in midfield. Atletico have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six away games, but they have scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
Los Rojiblancos have won 25 of the last 42 H2H meetings and given their fine performance against Sevilla, Away Win should be considered. Additionally, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals bets seem tempting (Atletico’s away games average 3.83 goals, while Athletic average 3.60 across their last 10).
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Dani Martinez @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid 0 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -250 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ -150 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwwllllw | 1.60 |
| Home | dl | 0.50 |
| Away | wwwwlllw | 1.88 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% | 63% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.75 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 30% | 100% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 0% | 63% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.03 | 0.95 | 1.05 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwllwwdw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Away | wlllww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.00 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.75 | 2.17 |
| BTTS | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.82 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.89 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (31%)
42 Matches
Atletico Madrid (60%)
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Past Results
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