Athletic Bilbao will try to claim a major scalp when they take on Barcelona in the La Liga derby. However, we predict a 2-1 away win as Barca do not suit the Lions. Ernesto Valverde’s troops have been showing signs of improvement of late, with the team winning three of their last four league matches with 1.76 expected goals at home. Home Win, though, should not be considered as key forward Nico Williams remains in the treatment room.
The league leaders, on the other hand, faced no difficulties in a 4-1 win over Villarreal, with the team moving one step closer towards the La Liga trophy.
Hansi Flick’s men have been scoring 2.70 goals per game of late and we are positive that they will stick to their attacking style of play. On the other hand, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in the previous six away games in all competitions. Defender Eric Garcia is back from the Copa del Rey ban, while both Gavi and Robert Lewandowski continue to miss out with injuries.
Barcelona have won each of their last 5 encounter with Athletic Club and given their fine form, Away Win should definitely be considered. Additionally, BTTS (Barca 0% clean sheets on the road of late) and Over 2.5 goals (57% H2H) markets seem appealing.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 1 - 2 Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Robert Lewandowski @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Robert Lewandowski @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Barcelona -0.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Barcelona +1 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Barcelona to Win @ -350 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Barcelona to Win/Barcelona to Win @ 150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Barcelona - No @ -300 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona?
You can place your bets on Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldwwlwwd | 1.70 |
| Home | ldwlw | 1.40 |
| Away | wlwwd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.76 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 1.01 | 1.32 |
Barcelona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwllww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.37 | 2.46 | 2.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 0.79 | 1.29 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (16%)
49 Matches
Barcelona (67%)
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