Athletic Bilbao will look to bounce back from a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Espanyol when they host Celta Vigo in an important clash in the race for European football. As Bilbao want this win more than Celta, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Lions have struggled for consistency lately, losing six of their last 10 matches, but they remain much stronger at San Mames, where they concede only 1.0 goal per game on average. Defender Dani Vivian is sidelined through injury, which is a blow for a team that has managed just one clean sheet in its last 10 outings. Despite their inconsistent form, Athletic still hold a solid H2H advantage, winning 16 of the previous 31 meetings with Celta.
The visitors travel to Bilbao after a dramatic 3-2 loss to Levante and are desperate to hold onto sixth place in the standings. Celta’s recent form has also been poor, with seven defeats in their last 10 matches, although they have shown more resilience away from home by winning two of their last five road fixtures. Their matches tend to be entertaining as they average 3.6 total goals per game, while conceding 2.2 goals on average over the last 10 outings.
Given Bilbao's stronger H2H record and home advantage, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 goals and Bilbao to Win to Nil (only 23% of H2H meetings produced four or more goals).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Celta Vigo
Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 220 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Matias Vecino @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Celta Vigo +1.5 @ -477 Odds
- European Handicap: Athletic Club +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Athletic Club to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Athletic Club to Win/Athletic Club to Win @ 260 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Athletic Club - Yes @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwllwlwll | 0.90 |
| Home | lwlwl | 1.20 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.49 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 1.05 | 1.24 |
Celta Vigo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlllllwwl | 0.90 |
| Home | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Away | wlllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.33 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.43 | 1.59 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (52%)
31 Matches
Celta Vigo (29%)
