Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna meet in a tightly contested La Liga clash with both sides chasing European qualification spots. As Osasuna head into the midweek game with a weakened squad, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Lions are looking to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Villarreal, but their recent form has been underwhelming, picking up just 1.00 point per game from the last 10. They’ve struggled offensively, scoring only 0.80 goals per match while failing to score in 50% of those games. The absence of Benat Prados Diaz further limits their midfield options.
Osasuna travel to the Basque Country slightly more consistent, averaging 1.40 points per game and losing just twice in their last 10. Their matches tend to be more open, with 2.60 total goals on average and a high 70% BTTS rate. However, suspensions to Catena and Osambela could weaken their defensive structure. Historically, Athletic Bilbao hold the edge with 16 wins from 31 meetings, though only 42% of those games have produced over 2.5 goals, suggesting a relatively cautious matchup.
Considering Bilbao's stronger H2H record and home edge, our prediction leans toward Home Win, with additional value on Under 2.5 goals and Bilbao to Win to Nil (H2H trends and Bilbao’s low scoring).
This Primera Division match will be played on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Roberto Arroyo @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Osasuna +1.5 @ -334 Odds
- European Handicap: Osasuna +2 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Athletic Club to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Athletic Club to Win/Athletic Club to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Athletic Club - No @ -188 Odds
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdlllwll | 1.00 |
| Home | lwlwl | 1.20 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.07 | 1.35 |
Osasuna Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwldlwdd | 1.40 |
| Home | dwdwd | 1.80 |
| Away | wdlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.80 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.04 | 1.67 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (52%)
31 Matches
Osasuna (23%)
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