Athletic Bilbao will look to build momentum after an entertaining 4-2 win over Alaves as they continue their push for European qualification. As Valencia failed to impress in a 2-0 loss to Atletico Madrid, we predict a 1-0 home win. Despite inconsistent overall form (1.00 points per game), Bilbao's home performances offer some stability, with a 50% win rate and just 1.00 goal conceded per match. Both Oihan Sancet and Roberto Navarro are pushing for starts, which could add fresh attacking energy to a side averaging 1.10 goals per game.
Valencia, meanwhile, travel to the Basque Country under pressure after a 2-0 loss to a rotated Atletico Madrid side, sitting just three points above the relegation zone. Their recent form has been slightly better (1.30 points per game), but away struggles remain evident, with just a 20% win rate and 0.80 goals scored per game on the road. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team, but striker Hugo Duro should be recalled to the starting eleven.
As Athletic Club are stronger at San Games, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Bilbao to Win to Nil (generally moderate scoring trends).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Valencia
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Guido Rodriguez @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Valencia +1.5 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: Valencia +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Athletic Club to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Athletic Club to Win/Athletic Club to Win @ 162 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Athletic Club - Yes @ 110 Odds
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllwllwlw | 1.00 |
| Home | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Away | dllllw | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.00 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 1.10 | 1.32 |
Valencia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwlldwl | 1.30 |
| Home | wwlwl | 1.80 |
| Away | llwld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.22 | 1.47 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (32%)
41 Matches
Valencia (37%)
