What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Valencia
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Preview
Athletic Bilbao will look to build momentum after an entertaining 4-2 win over Alaves as they continue their push for European qualification. As Valencia failed to impress in a 2-0 loss to Atletico Madrid, we predict a 1-0 home win. Despite inconsistent overall form (1.00 points per game), Bilbao's home performances offer some stability, with a 50% win rate and just 1.00 goal conceded per match. Both Oihan Sancet and Roberto Navarro are pushing for starts, which could add fresh attacking energy to a side averaging 1.10 goals per game.
Valencia, meanwhile, travel to the Basque Country under pressure after a 2-0 loss to a rotated Atletico Madrid side, sitting just three points above the relegation zone. Their recent form has been slightly better (1.30 points per game), but away struggles remain evident, with just a 20% win rate and 0.80 goals scored per game on the road. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team, but striker Hugo Duro should be recalled to the starting eleven.
As Athletic Club are stronger at San Games, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Bilbao to Win to Nil (generally moderate scoring trends).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at 15:15.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Sun 10 May 2026, 15:15UK time
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia | 11/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Athletic Club | 1/4 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Athletic Club / Athletic Club | 13/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: Valencia +1.5 | 2/5 | |
| European Handicap: Valencia +2 | 2/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta | 13/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta | 4/1 | |
| To be Booked: Guido Rodriguez | 8/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 12/5 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/10 | |
| Athletic Club Clean Sheet: Yes | 11/10 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlllwllwlw | 1.00 |
| Home | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Away | dllllw | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.00 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 1.10 | 1.32 |
Valencia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwlldwl | 1.30 |
| Home | wwlwl | 1.80 |
| Away | llwld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.22 | 1.47 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (32%)
41 Matches
Valencia (37%)





