Athletic Bilbao will be eager to bounce back after a 2-0 defeat to Getafe, with Nico Williams back in contention to bolster their attack. As Villarreal suffered a dip in form, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Lions have been fairly solid at San Games, winning 3 of their last 5 home matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game, and conceding 1.2. Despite this, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 home games, and BTTS has occurred in 60% of these matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Villarreal come into this clash with several key injuries (Cabanes, Costa, Foyth, Marin, and Partey) and aim to recover from a 1-0 loss to Girona. Away form has been shaky, with only 1 win in their last 6 away matches and an average of 1.0 goals scored per away game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their away fixtures, showing they can both score and concede on the road. The head-to-head between these two sides is very balanced: 12 wins each and 12 draws in the last 35 meetings, with BTTS in 57% of games and Over 1.5 goals in 74%.
Given Bilbao's strong form at home and Villarreal's poor display against Girona, we predict Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals (74% H2H) and BTTS (both teams have a tendency to concede).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Villarreal
Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Tajon Buchanan @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Villarreal +1.5 @ -364 Odds
- European Handicap: Athletic Club +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Athletic Club to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Athletic Club to Win/Athletic Club to Win @ 220 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Athletic Club - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwdlllwl | 1.30 |
| Home | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.65 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 0.95 | 1.35 |
Villarreal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwwlwdwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | dlwldl | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.75 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.75 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.63 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.35 | 1.46 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (34%)
35 Matches
Villarreal (31%)
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