What is our Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?
Atletico Madrid
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Preview
Atletico Madrid will be desperate to respond after a 3-2 defeat to Elche when they face Athletic Bilbao at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on Saturday. As the Basques continue to struggle on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. However, with one eye on the upcoming Champions League semi-final, Atletico Madrid's focus could be split. Tiago Almada is suspended, which is another blow. Recent numbers show a big shift from their usual defensive solidity—Atletico are conceding 1.9 goals per game, with 80% of their matches seeing both teams score, highlighting clear defensive issues despite their attacking output.
Athletic Bilbao come into this clash after a hard-fought 1-0 win over Osasuna and remain in the hunt for a European spot. Mikel Jauregizar is banned, but otherwise the squad is stable. The Lions have been less consistent, especially away from home, where they average just 0.8 points per game and score only 0.6 goals. As always, a man to watch in the away team will be Barcelona target Nico Williams.
Given Atletico Madrid's stronger squad and better home form, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside BTTS, and Over 2.5 goals (Atletico matches average high scoring and defensive issues persist).
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday, 25 April 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Sat 25 Apr 2026, 20:00UK time
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao | 15/2 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid | 4/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid / Atletico Madrid | 11/5 | |
| Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid 0 | 19/40 | |
| European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1 | 1/2 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Miguel Cubo | 2/11 | |
| First Goalscorer: Miguel Cubo | 8/11 | |
| To be Booked: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta | 7/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet: No | 4/11 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao?
You can place your bets on Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlllwlldl | 1.00 |
| Home | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.49 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.79 | 1.65 | 1.94 |
Athletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdlllwllw | 1.30 |
| Home | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.58 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 0.98 | 1.35 |
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (59%)
41 Matches
Athletic Bilbao (32%)
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Napoli
Lazio
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Sunderland
Chelsea
Genoa
Milan
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Inter
Como
