Atletico Madrid will be desperate to respond after a 3-2 defeat to Elche when they face Athletic Bilbao at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on Saturday. As the Basques continue to struggle on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. However, with one eye on the upcoming Champions League semi-final, Atletico Madrid's focus could be split. Tiago Almada is suspended, which is another blow. Recent numbers show a big shift from their usual defensive solidity—Atletico are conceding 1.9 goals per game, with 80% of their matches seeing both teams score, highlighting clear defensive issues despite their attacking output.
Athletic Bilbao come into this clash after a hard-fought 1-0 win over Osasuna and remain in the hunt for a European spot. Mikel Jauregizar is banned, but otherwise the squad is stable. The Lions have been less consistent, especially away from home, where they average just 0.8 points per game and score only 0.6 goals. As always, a man to watch in the away team will be Barcelona target Nico Williams.
Given Atletico Madrid's stronger squad and better home form, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside BTTS, and Over 2.5 goals (Atletico matches average high scoring and defensive issues persist).
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Miguel Cubo @ -550 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Miguel Cubo @ -138 Odds
- To be Booked: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid 0 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 220 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao?
You can place your bets on Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlllwlldl | 1.00 |
| Home | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.49 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.79 | 1.65 | 1.94 |
Athletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdlllwllw | 1.30 |
| Home | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.58 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 0.98 | 1.35 |
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (59%)
41 Matches
Athletic Bilbao (32%)
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