Atletico Madrid will aim to secure Champions League qualification with a win over Celta Vigo, and Diego Simeone is expected to rely on a rotated but fresh squad after resting key players in a 2-0 victory over Valencia. However, injuries to Julian Alvarez, Alexander Sorloth, and Giuliano Simeone limit their attacking options. Despite inconsistent form (1.10 points per game), Atletico’s matches have been highly entertaining, averaging 3.40 goals with BTTS landing in 80% of their last ten games. At home, though, their defensive issues are evident, conceding 1.80 goals per game and failing to keep a clean sheet in recent outings. In Alvarez's absence, Antoine Griezmann is widely expected to lead the line for the hosts.
Celta Vigo, meanwhile, travel to Madrid motivated after a 3-1 win over Elche, still chasing a Conference League spot. Their form has been mixed (1.00 points per game), but they average 3.40 total goals in matches and can exploit defensive gaps. The absence of suspended defender Javier Rueda could weaken their back line, but there are no fresh injury worries in the Galician outfit.
Given Atletico's superior quality and motivation, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Atletico Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (both sides involved in open games).
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Marcos Alonso @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid 0 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 240 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - No @ -334 Odds
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlldlwdwl | 1.10 |
| Home | lldwd | 1.00 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.37 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.72 | 1.54 |
Celta Vigo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwlllllw | 1.00 |
| Home | lllw | 0.75 |
| Away | dwwlll | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 4.50 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.75 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.75 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.30 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.39 |
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (65%)
31 Matches
Celta Vigo (10%)
Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Past Results
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