Atletico Madrid take on Getafe in a Madrid derby that could see the home side tighten their grip on the top three. Given Atletico's fine run at Wanda Metropolitano, we predict a 2-1 home win. Los Rojiblancos are in excellent form, winning four of their last five, scoring an impressive 3.0 goals per home match while conceding only 1.2, though midfielder Rodrigo Mendoza is sidelined. Diego Simeone's men average 4.2 goals per game at home, with 60% of matches seeing both teams score, highlighting their attacking potency.
Getafe head into the local derby confident after back-to-back wins over Real Madrid and Real Betis, with striker Adrian Liso returning from suspension. They average 2 points per away match recently, scoring 1.25 goals per game and maintaining 50% clean sheets on the road, making them a dangerous counter-attacking threat. Expected goals metrics (Atlético 1.92 vs Getafe 1.22 away) suggest the hosts dominate chances but may face defensive resilience.
H2H stats favor Atletico: 25 wins in 35 matches, 71% Over 1.5 goals, but only 29% BTTS, indicating they often control games. Given Atletico's dominant H2H and home form, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Atletico Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (high-scoring home matches).
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Getafe prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Getafe
Atletico Madrid vs Getafe Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 350 Odds
- To be Booked: Sebastian Boselli @ -105 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid -0.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 160 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - No @ 100 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Atletico Madrid vs Getafe?
You can place your bets on Atletico Madrid vs Getafe at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwldwwwlw | 1.90 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wldwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.92 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.15 | 1.86 |
Getafe Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllddwwlww | 1.50 |
| Home | lldwlw | 1.17 |
| Away | ddww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.09 | 1.01 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.02 | 1.61 |
Atletico Madrid vs Getafe Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (71%)
35 Matches
Getafe (11%)
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