Atletico Madrid, already securing their spot in the Champions League, may opt for rotation as they face relegation-threatened Girona. Despite Girona's hunger for points, we predict a 2-1 home win as Diego Simeone's troops have turned Wanda Metropolitano into a real fortress. Atletico’s recent form shows a mixed bag: in their last 10 matches, they’ve won 4, drawn 3, and lost 3, averaging 1.10 points per game. Los Rojiblancos score around 1.40 goals per match but concede slightly more at 1.50. Notably, their home form is solid with a 1.00 away from home, but clean sheets are rare (only 10%). Marcos Llorente is suspended, adding to their defensive concerns.
Girona, fighting relegation, have struggled away, winning just 0% of their last 10 fixtures on the road. Their form includes 3 wins and 4 losses overall, with 0% wins away. The Catalans average 1.10 goals scored and concede 1.10 per game. Cristhian Stuani’s recent goal could boost their confidence. There are no fresh injury worries in the away team ahead of the trip to Madrid.
Rotation may reduce their dominance, but Atletico still hold the edge. Therefore, Home Win should be considered, alongside Atletico Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (62% H2H).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Girona prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Girona
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Lancinet Kourouma @ 225 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid -0.5 @ -138 Odds
- European Handicap: Girona +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ -334 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldlwdwllw | 1.10 |
| Home | ldwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | llwlw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.67 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.30 | 1.61 |
Girona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwdllldd | 1.00 |
| Home | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Away | dldld | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.69 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.22 | 1.92 |
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (54%)
13 Matches
Girona (8%)
Atletico Madrid vs Girona Past Results
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