Atletico Madrid will be looking to make a strong start to the new La Liga campaign when they welcome Malaga to the capital. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, we predict a 2-0 home win. The hosts have been busy in the transfer market, bringing in the likes of Kang-in Lee, Morten Hjumland, and Alejandro Grimaldo. However, los Rojiblancos could face a major attacking change with Julian Alvarez on the verge of leaving, while Antoine Griezmann has completed a move to MLS side Orlando City. Diego Simeone’s men have been inconsistent of late, winning four of their last 10 matches, but their home record is considerably stronger, with 1.75 points per game.
Malaga, meanwhile, return to the top flight eager to prove they belong at this level. However, a disappointing 2-1 defeat to Ceuta in their final warm-up game will hardly boost confidence. Gabilondo and Dotor have departed, while Jose Salinas, Juan Cruz, Fernando Calero, and Moussa Diarra have arrived to strengthen the squad. Malaga have scored in nine of their last 10 games, suggesting Atletico may have to work for a clean sheet.
As Atletico's home advantage and superior individual quality should make the difference here, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Atletico -1.5 and Atletico Over 1.5 goals bets seem interesting (both teams have regularly been involved in games producing at least two goals).
This Primera Division match will be played on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Atletico Madrid vs Malaga prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Malaga
Atletico Madrid vs Malaga Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0 @ 700 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 130 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ademola Lookman @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ademola Lookman @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Carlos Puga @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid -1 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Malaga +3 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ -600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - Yes @ 125 Odds
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View OfferAtletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwwlwllw | 1.50 |
| Home | lww | 2.00 |
| Away | wlwlllw | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.33 | 3.14 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.67 | 1.86 |
| BTTS | 60% | 33% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.94 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.67 | 1.68 | 1.66 |
Malaga Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwddwddwld | 1.70 |
| Home | ddddwd | 1.33 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.67 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.62 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 1.06 | 1.17 |
Atletico Madrid vs Malaga Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Atletico Madrid (55%)
20 Matches
Malaga (20%)
Atletico Madrid vs Malaga Past Results
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