What is our Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction?
Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Alaves
Our prediction for this match: Celta Vigo 2 - 1 Alaves
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Preview
Celta Vigo continue their climb in form after a 1-1 draw with Real Betis, and Ferran Jutgla is expected to be available despite a minor knock. As Alaves continue to struggle defensively, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Galician side have taken 1.60 PPG across their last 10 matches, with strong defensive numbers—only 1.00 goal conceded per game and 40% clean sheets at home. Celta’s xG profile is also balanced, producing 1.39 xG at home while allowing just 1.15 xGA, suggesting control in most home fixtures.
The Basques, on the other hand, remain inconsistent, collecting just 0.90 PPG in their last 10 outings. Their defensive issues are clear: 0% clean sheets and 1.70 goals conceded per match overall. The suspension of defender Yusi only complicates things for a side already struggling to keep structure, particularly away from home where they concede 1.60 goals per match and fail to score in 40% of their games.
Given Celta Vigo's better form, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals and Both Teams to Score as both sides hit 70% BTTS lately, with defensive lapses on the Alaves side boosting chances.
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday, 22 March 2026 at 15:15.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Sun 22 Mar 2026, 15:15UK time
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves | 15/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/4 | |
| Draw No Bet: Celta Vigo | 1/6 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Celta Vigo / Celta Vigo | 11/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: Celta Vigo -0.5 | 37/40 | |
| European Handicap: Celta Vigo +1 | 1/9 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Borja Iglesias | 6/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Borja Iglesias | 15/4 | |
| To be Booked: Ibrahim Diabate | 6/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 21/20 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/10 | |
| Celta Vigo Clean Sheet: No | 4/5 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 7/4 | |
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View OfferCelta Vigo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwwwwldd | 1.60 |
| Home | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Away | ddwwd | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.39 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.15 | 1.36 |
Alaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwllddlld | 0.90 |
| Home | wlldd | 1.00 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.44 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.64 | 1.48 | 1.79 |
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Celta Vigo (47%)
19 Matches
Alaves (32%)
Celta Vigo vs Alaves Past Results
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