Osasuna return home looking to bounce back from a disappointing 3-2 defeat to Levante as they continue their push for a European place. Given Osasuna's motivation and Atletico's attacking potential, our prediction leans toward a 2-2 draw. Despite inconsistent overall form, Los Rojillos have been far more competitive at El Sadar, collecting 1.60 points per game from their last five home matches. Osasuna average 1.40 goals scored per home game, while 80% of those fixtures have seen both teams find the net. However, the hosts face a setback with first-choice goalkeeper Sergio Herrera suspended, potentially weakening a defence that has kept just one clean sheet in the last 10 matches.
Atletico Madrid travel to Pamplona after a narrow 1-0 loss to Celta Vigo, though Diego Simeone’s side have already secured Champions League football for next season. Motivation could be a concern for the visitors, who have won only three of their previous 10 matches in all competitions. Los Rojiblancos will also be without suspended forward Alex Baena, while defender Jose Maria Gimenez is expected to miss out through injury. Even so, their record in this fixture is outstanding, with Atletico winning 20 of the last 27 meetings against Osasuna and keeping clean sheets in 63% of those clashes.
As Osasuna home games have regularly produced goals at both ends, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals (both teams average 2.80 total goals per game across their last 10 matches).
This Primera Division match will be played on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Osasuna 2 - 2 Atletico Madrid
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ante Budimir @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ante Budimir @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Roberto Arroyo @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Osasuna +0.5 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Osasuna +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 500 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - No @ -400 Odds
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View OfferOsasuna Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwddlwll | 0.90 |
| Home | dwdwl | 1.60 |
| Away | lldll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.79 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.03 | 1.85 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldlwdwll | 1.10 |
| Home | ldwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.68 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.30 | 1.54 |
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Osasuna (19%)
27 Matches
Atletico Madrid (74%)
Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Past Results
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