Osasuna enter this demanding fixture after a goalless draw with Elche, keeping their strong recent form intact. However, we predict a 3-1 away win as Real Madrid do not suit los Rojillos. Alessio Lisci's side are unbeaten in five and average 1.90 points per game, showing solid balance between attack and defence. At home, Osasuna collect 2.00 PPG, scoring 2.25 goals per match, though they still concede frequently, with only 25% clean sheets at El Sadar. Their 1.58 xG at home suggests they can create chances, but they must be clinical to trouble a top opponent.
Real Madrid arrive without Jude Bellingham due to a hamstring injury, but the return of Rodrygo and Asensio from suspension boosts their options. The Spanish giants remain dominant domestically, taking 3.00 PPG away from home and winning 100% of home fixtures, while even on the road they average 2.00 goals scored. Los Blancos also come in with strong momentum: four wins in their last five, producing 4.00 goals per game overall and 2.13 xG at the Bernabéu. Their historical record is emphatic too—21 wins from the last 30 H2H clashes.
Given Osasuna’s resilience but Real Madrid’s superior quality and depth, the visitors remain favourites. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Away Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 Goals as both sides average 3+ goals per match.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Osasuna vs Real Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Osasuna 1 - 3 Real Madrid
Osasuna vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 300 Odds
- To be Booked: Roberto Arroyo @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -0.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Real Madrid +1 @ -550 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ 150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Osasuna vs Real Madrid?
You can place your bets on Osasuna vs Real Madrid at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferOsasuna Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwd | 1.90 |
| Home | wdwd | 2.00 |
| Away | ldwwd | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.25 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.58 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.24 | 1.74 |
Real Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwww | 2.10 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | llwlw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 4.25 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.75 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.90 | 2.13 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.39 | 1.66 |
Osasuna vs Real Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Osasuna (7%)
30 Matches
Real Madrid (70%)
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