Real Oviedo enter this clash encouraged by their spirited 3-3 draw with Real Sociedad, where Eric Bailly delivered a dramatic late equalizer. However, we predict a 2-1 win over Atletico Madrid this time out as los Rojiblancos impressed in their last league match. The return of key midfielder Santiago Colombatto should stabilize the center of the pitch for los Azules, but they remain inconsistent, taking only 0.80 points per game overall. Oviedo struggle badly away from home, yet even at their own stadium they average just 0.60 goals scored despite a solid defensive record of 60% clean sheets at home. Their expected goals numbers (1.20 xG, 1.28 xGA) underline a team that keeps games tight but rarely dominates.
Atletico Madrid arrive in better shape after a 4-2 win over Espanyol, with both Koke and Julian Alvarez pushing for a starting role. Rodrigo Mendoza also returns from suspension, adding depth to a side picking up 1.50 points per game. Atletico’s attack looks far more reliable, scoring 2.10 goals per match and producing a strong 1.73 expected goals overall. Defensively, los Rojiblancos concede only 1.20 goals on average, much sturdier than Oviedo’s 1.70.
The H2H history favors Atlético, who won both previous meetings without conceding. As Atletico Madrid proved their worth in the triumph over Espanyol, we are tempted to place our bets on Away Win, alongside Under 3.5 goals, and Atletico to Win to Nil.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Oviedo 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid
Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-2 @ 3300 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 162 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ferran Torres @ -105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ferran Torres @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: David Carmo @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid -0.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +2 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ 275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Atletico Madrid to Win/Atletico Madrid to Win @ 650 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Atletico Madrid - Yes @ 900 Odds
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View OfferOviedo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldddllwld | 0.80 |
| Home | dddwl | 1.20 |
| Away | ldlld | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.27 | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.28 | 1.79 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldwlwldw | 1.50 |
| Home | wllww | 1.80 |
| Away | ddwld | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.07 | 1.37 |
Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Oviedo (0%)
2 Matches
Atletico Madrid (100%)
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