Rayo Vallecano return home after a solid 1-1 draw with Real Betis, and while they have no new injury concerns, Diego Mendez remains unavailable. As both sides are capable of scoring, we predict a 1-1 draw. Los Vallecanos' form has been respectable, taking 1.75 points per game and scoring 1.75 goals on average at Vallecas. However, defensive issues linger, with only 25% clean sheets at home and 1.25 goals conceded. Rayo will need to stay alert to the movement of Gorka Guruzeta, who arrives in form after scoring a brace in Bilbao’s 2-1 win over Elche.
Athletic Bilbao travel in excellent shape, winning four of their last five, and showing strong attacking numbers: 1.90 goals scored per match and 90% BTTS overall. Their away form is even better, with 2.00 goals scored per game and a 60% win rate, though clean sheets remain elusive (0% this season). With Nico Williams doubtful, they may rely more on Guruzeta’s current hot streak.
H2H history leans heavily toward Athletic, with 14 wins from 23 meetings and 61% of matches over 2.5 goals. Therefore, Both Teams to Score, Over 2.5 goals and Rayo Vallecano or Draw bets should be considered.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:00.
What is our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 220 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gorka Guruzeta @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Gerard Gumbau @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rayo Vallecano +0.5 @ -286 Odds
- European Handicap: Rayo Vallecano +1 @ -600 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 350 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Rayo Vallecano - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferRayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwllllwl | 1.00 |
| Home | dwlw | 1.75 |
| Away | lwllll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.75 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.25 | 2.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.46 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.37 |
Athletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlldwwlww | 1.60 |
| Home | ldwlw | 1.40 |
| Away | lwlww | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.76 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 1.01 | 1.37 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rayo Vallecano (17%)
23 Matches
Athletic Bilbao (61%)
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