Rayo Vallecano will look to respond after a 2-0 defeat to Girona when they meet again, with the hosts aiming to strengthen their push for a Europa League spot. As Rayo have turned their "Vallecas" into a real fortress, we predict a 1-0 home win. Rayo’s recent form has been solid (1.60 points per game), particularly at home where they boast a 67% win rate and concede just 0.67 goals per match. The return of Isi Palazon from suspension is a major boost, adding creativity and control in midfield.
Girona, meanwhile, travel to Madrid under pressure, sitting just above the relegation zone and on a three-game losing streak (0.90 points per game). Their away form is a concern, with no wins and 0.60 points per game, while defensive issues persist, conceding 1.40 goals per match. The absence of Bryan Gil further limits their attacking options.
Considering Rayo's fine home form and motivation, punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Rayo Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (consistent H2H scoring trends).
This Primera Division match will be played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Rayo Vallecano vs Girona prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Girona
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vladyslav Vanat @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vladyslav Vanat @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Abdul Mumin @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rayo Vallecano 0 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Rayo Vallecano +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Rayo Vallecano to Win @ -138 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Rayo Vallecano to Win/Rayo Vallecano to Win @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Rayo Vallecano - Yes @ 250 Odds
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View OfferRayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwllwdww | 1.60 |
| Home | lwwwdw | 2.17 |
| Away | lllw | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.17 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.67 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 2.06 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.22 | 1.71 |
Girona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwlwdlll | 0.90 |
| Home | lwwll | 1.20 |
| Away | ddldl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.49 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.26 | 1.90 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rayo Vallecano (42%)
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Girona (37%)
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