There will be fireworks when Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid square off against each other in the local derby. Los Vallecanos aim to recover from a massive 4-0 loss to Villarreal and they face yet another uphill task against the league leaders. Both Oscar Valentin and Fran Perez are pushing for a start, while there are no fresh injury worries in the home team.
Xabi Alonso’s men, on the other hand, aim to make amends for Tuesday’s Champions League defeat to Liverpool. Given Rayo’s poor defensive display in the defeat to Villarreal, we predict that the title hopefuls are going to pick up all three points from the Madrid derby. In their last meeting in the Spanish top flight, Real Madrid defeated Rayo Vallecano 2-1, which definitely supports our betting prediction. Trent Alexander-Arnold is widely expected to return to the starting XI, while all David Alaba, Antonio Rudiger, Dani Carvajal, and Franco Mastantuono miss out with injuries.
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 9 November 2025 at 15:15.
What is our Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rayo Vallecano 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Gerard Gumbau @ 125 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferRayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwl | 2.00 |
| Home | w | 3.00 |
| Away | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 1.00 | 4.50 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 1.00 | 2.75 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.00 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 40% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 100% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.74 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.22 | 1.44 |
Real Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Home | www | 3.00 |
| Away | wl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.67 | 1.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.33 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 2.38 | 2.75 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.23 | 1.39 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rayo Vallecano (10%)
20 Matches
Real Madrid (75%)
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