Rayo Vallecano continue their push for a Conference League place after a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Valencia, and motivation should be significantly higher for the hosts here. As both Rayo and Villarreal are capable of scoring, we predict a 2-2 draw. Los Vallecanos have been competitive at home in recent weeks, but injury concerns could hurt their balance with both Gerard Gumbau and Ivan Balliu unavailable. Attacking midfielder Isi Palazon also remains suspended, removing one of Rayo’s most creative players. Even so, Rayo know a victory could keep their European hopes alive heading into the final stretch of the campaign.
Villarreal travel to Madrid with less pressure after already securing Champions League qualification. The Yellow Submarine suffered a 3-2 defeat to Sevilla in midweek and could rotate several players with little left to fight for. Renato Veiga is suspended, weakening a defence that has already shown vulnerability in recent matches. Villarreal’s attacking quality still makes them dangerous, but intensity levels may not match those of a highly motivated Rayo side.
Villarreal remain dangerous going forward despite possible rotation and given Rayo's attacking potential at home, Both Teams to Score bet should be considered, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rayo Vallecano 2 - 2 Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Abdul Mumin @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Villarreal +0.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Villarreal +1 @ -125 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -125 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 500 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Rayo Vallecano - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferRayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwdwwwdd | 1.80 |
| Home | wwdwd | 2.20 |
| Away | llwwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 2.02 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.27 | 1.55 |
Villarreal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwlwdwwdl | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Away | dlwdd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.73 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.39 | 1.66 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rayo Vallecano (20%)
20 Matches
Villarreal (65%)
Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal Past Results
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