Real Madrid welcome Alaves in a La Liga game with the hosts determined to keep their title hopes alive. As Alaves suit Real Madrid, we predict a 2-1 home win. Despite injury setbacks to Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo, Real Madrid still boast impressive squad depth and have collected 1.60 points per game over their last 10 matches. Their attacking output remains strong, averaging 2.00 goals scored per game, while their matches are typically open, with 3.50 total goals on average and an 80% BTTS rate.
Alaves travel to the Spanish capital battling relegation and struggling for consistency, earning just 0.80 points per game across their last 10. Their games have been chaotic, averaging 3.90 total goals, with 2.20 conceded per match and no clean sheets recorded. The suspension of Abderrahmane Rebbach further limits their options. Historically, Real Madrid dominate this fixture with 15 wins from 17, and 76% of those meetings have produced over 2.5 goals, highlighting a trend of high-scoring encounters.
Given Real Madrid's strong H2H dominance and scoring trends, there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Real Madrid Over 1.5 and Mbappe to Score.
This Primera Division match will be played on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves
Real Madrid vs Alaves Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -225 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 225 Odds
- To be Booked: Ibrahim Diabate @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -0.5 @ -445 Odds
- European Handicap: CD Alaves +3 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -900 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -1600 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ -150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - No @ -138 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Real Madrid vs Alaves?
You can place your bets on Real Madrid vs Alaves at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwwwlldl | 1.60 |
| Home | lwwwld | 1.67 |
| Away | wwll | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.17 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.86 | 2.05 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.38 | 1.68 |
Alaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llddlldwdd | 0.80 |
| Home | llddd | 0.60 |
| Away | dllwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
Real Madrid vs Alaves Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (88%)
17 Matches
Alaves (12%)
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