What is our Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction?
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Alaves
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves
Real Madrid vs Alaves Preview
Real Madrid welcome Alaves in a La Liga game with the hosts determined to keep their title hopes alive. As Alaves suit Real Madrid, we predict a 2-1 home win. Despite injury setbacks to Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo, Real Madrid still boast impressive squad depth and have collected 1.60 points per game over their last 10 matches. Their attacking output remains strong, averaging 2.00 goals scored per game, while their matches are typically open, with 3.50 total goals on average and an 80% BTTS rate.
Alaves travel to the Spanish capital battling relegation and struggling for consistency, earning just 0.80 points per game across their last 10. Their games have been chaotic, averaging 3.90 total goals, with 2.20 conceded per match and no clean sheets recorded. The suspension of Abderrahmane Rebbach further limits their options. Historically, Real Madrid dominate this fixture with 15 wins from 17, and 76% of those meetings have produced over 2.5 goals, highlighting a trend of high-scoring encounters.
Given Real Madrid's strong H2H dominance and scoring trends, there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Real Madrid Over 1.5 and Mbappe to Score.
This Primera Division match will be played on Tuesday, 21 April 2026 at 20:30.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Tue 21 Apr 2026, 20:30UK time
Real Madrid vs Alaves Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Real Madrid 2-1 Alaves | 17/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: Real Madrid | 1/16 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid / Real Madrid | 4/6 | |
| Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -0.5 | 9/40 | |
| European Handicap: CD Alaves +3 | 1/2 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 4/9 | |
| First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 9/4 | |
| To be Booked: Ibrahim Diabate | 6/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Real Madrid Clean Sheet: No | 8/11 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Real Madrid vs Alaves?
You can place your bets on Real Madrid vs Alaves at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwwwlldl | 1.60 |
| Home | lwwwld | 1.67 |
| Away | wwll | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.17 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.86 | 2.05 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.38 | 1.68 |
Alaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llddlldwdd | 0.80 |
| Home | llddd | 0.60 |
| Away | dllwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.36 | 1.64 |
Real Madrid vs Alaves Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (88%)
17 Matches
Alaves (12%)
Real Madrid vs Alaves Past Results
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