Real Madrid will look to finish the La Liga season on a positive note when they host Athletic Bilbao at the Santiago Bernabeu. As the Spanish giants are eager to make amends for the unsuccessful season, we predict a 2-0 home win. Los Blancos head into the clash after a narrow 1-0 win over Sevilla, a match that also saw Kylian Mbappe return to the starting XI. Alvaro Arbeloa's troops have shown flashes of quality in recent weeks despite inconsistency, winning four of their last ten matches while averaging 1.4 goals per game. However, injuries continue to affect squad depth, with Fede Valverde, Arda Guler, and Rodrygo all expected to miss out.
Athletic Bilbao, meanwhile, travel to Madrid disappointed after missing out on European qualification. The Basque side have struggled badly away from home, losing four of their last five road matches while conceding 2.4 goals per game in that stretch. Left-back Yuri Berchiche is suspended, another blow for a defence that has failed to keep a clean sheet in away fixtures recently.
Given Real Madrid's strong H2H dominance and home advantage, punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Mbappe to Score and Under 3.5 goals (Madrid’s recent games have generally been controlled affairs).
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 275 Odds
- To be Booked: Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta @ 350 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -0.5 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Athletic Club +3 @ -500 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -450 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ 130 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - Yes @ 200 Odds
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View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldlwdwlww | 1.40 |
| Home | ldww | 1.75 |
| Away | lldwlw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.80 | 2.41 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1.62 |
Athletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllwlwlld | 1.00 |
| Home | wlwld | 1.40 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.86 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 0.97 | 1.24 |
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (71%)
38 Matches
Athletic Bilbao (13%)
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Past Results
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