Real Madrid return to the Santiago Bernabeu looking to respond after a painful 2-0 defeat to Barcelona in El Clasico, a result that effectively ended their La Liga title hopes. As los Blancos are eager to make amends for the unsuccessful domestic campaign, we predict a 3-0 home win. Alvaro Arbeloa's men have been inconsistent in recent weeks, winning just four of their last 10 matches while conceding an average of 1.60 goals per game. Despite that, Madrid remain dangerous offensively, scoring 1.60 goals per match and seeing 80% of their recent fixtures finish with both teams scoring. There are some injury concerns ahead of this clash, with both Fede Valverde and Kylian Mbappe doubtful after missing El Clasico.
Oviedo travel to the Spanish capital already relegated and with little left to play for beyond pride. Their form has been patchy, with just one win in their last five away matches and a defence that has struggled heavily on the road, conceding 2.20 goals per game away from home. The visitors will also be without Kwasi Sibo and Javi Lopez due to suspension, further weakening an already fragile squad. Historically, this is a rare fixture, with Real Madrid winning the only previous meeting between the sides.
Given Real Madrid's far superior quality and strong home attacking record, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Real Madrid -1.5.
This Primera Division match will be played on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Real Madrid vs Oviedo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 3 - 0 Oviedo
Real Madrid vs Oviedo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gonzalo Garcia @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gonzalo Garcia @ 350 Odds
- To be Booked: Nicolas Fonseca @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -1.5 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Real Madrid -1 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -1200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ -138 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - Yes @ 100 Odds
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View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlldlwdwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wldw | 1.75 |
| Away | wlldwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.85 | 2.42 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.73 | 1.69 | 1.75 |
Oviedo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwlwwdlld | 1.20 |
| Home | wwdld | 1.60 |
| Away | ldlwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.27 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.60 | 1.19 | 2.02 |
Real Madrid vs Oviedo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (100%)
1 Matches
Oviedo (0%)
