What is our Real Sociedad vs Alaves prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Alaves
Real Sociedad vs Alaves Preview
There will be fireworks in the Basque derby as Real Sociedad host Deportivo Alaves, with both sides looking to consolidate their league positions. As La Real have been in a better form than Alaves, we predict a 2-0 home win. Real Sociedad are coming off a 2-0 victory over Levante and will be without defender Jon Martin due to suspension. Forward Ander Barrenetxea should be fit despite a minor knock, giving them a boost in attack. Sociedad’s home form has been impressive, averaging 3.4 goals per game and winning 80% of recent home matches, while keeping clean sheets in 40% of their last 10 fixtures.
Alaves head into this clash following a 2-2 draw with Osasuna, with midfielder Denis Suarez back from suspension. The visitors have struggled away from home, earning just 1.4 points per game in recent away fixtures and winning only 40% of those games. Head-to-head stats favor Real Sociedad, who have won 47% of the 19 previous meetings, though BTTS occurred in 32% of those matches.
Considering Real Sociedad's strong home form & H2H edge, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals (58% H2H) and Real Sociedad to Win to Nil.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday, 11 April 2026 at 13:00.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Sat 11 Apr 2026, 13:00UK time
Real Sociedad vs Alaves Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Real Sociedad 2-0 Alaves | 15/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Real Sociedad | 2/7 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Real Sociedad / Real Sociedad | 7/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: Real Sociedad -0.5 | 7/10 | |
| European Handicap: CD Alaves +3 | 2/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Mikel Oyarzabal | 11/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Mikel Oyarzabal | 15/4 | |
| To be Booked: Ibrahim Diabate | 6/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 19/20 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Real Sociedad Clean Sheet: Yes | 6/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferReal Sociedad Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwldwwlwlw | 1.90 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Away | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.59 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.37 | 1.70 |
Alaves Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllddlldwd | 1.00 |
| Home | llddd | 0.60 |
| Away | wdllw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.36 | 1.59 |
Real Sociedad vs Alaves Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Sociedad (47%)
19 Matches
Alaves (32%)





