Real Sociedad return to San Sebastian looking to get back on course after drawing 1-1 with Girona in midweek. Valencia are eager to stay in the Conference League race, but with Real Sociedad being tough to beat at home, we predict a 1-1 draw. Although La Real have already secured European football through their Copa del Rey success, Imanol Alguacil will still demand a strong finish to the season. Home form has been relatively solid, with Sociedad averaging two goals scored per game across their last five home matches. However, defensive issues remain a concern after conceding 17 goals in their previous 10 fixtures. The suspension of Ander Barrenetxea is another setback, removing an important attacking outlet from the hosts.
Valencia head into Sunday's game with far greater urgency as they sit just two points behind the European places. Los Che earned a valuable 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano and have shown improved consistency recently, collecting 1.4 points per game over their last 10 matches. Their away form has been particularly competitive, with two wins from the last five road games and only 0.6 goals conceded per away match during that run. Injury concerns remain over Jose Gaya and Renzo Saravia after both picked up knocks in midweek. Historically, this fixture has often been tight, with only 39% of the last 31 meetings producing over 2.5 goals.
As recent H2H meetings have generally been low-scoring affairs, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Real Sociedad vs Valencia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Valencia
Real Sociedad vs Valencia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gorka Carrera @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gorka Carrera @ 350 Odds
- To be Booked: Mouctar Diakhaby @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Valencia +0.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Valencia +1 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -163 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Sociedad to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Sociedad - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferReal Sociedad Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwddldldd | 1.10 |
| Home | wwdld | 1.60 |
| Away | lddld | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.60 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.75 | 1.21 | 2.30 |
Valencia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlldwlwd | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwld | 1.40 |
| Away | lwldw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.50 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.53 |
Real Sociedad vs Valencia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Sociedad (45%)
31 Matches
Valencia (29%)
Real Sociedad vs Valencia Past Results
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