Sevilla take on Real Sociedad in a tense La Liga game where survival instincts meet European ambition. As Sevilla are desperate for a win, we predict a 2-1 home triumph. The Andalusians come into the match after a 2–1 defeat to Osasuna and remain in danger near the relegation zone, with just 0.90 points per game across their last 10 fixtures. Their attacking output has been limited at 1.00 goal per game, while defensive issues persist, conceding 1.70 on average. Injuries to Djibril Sow and doubts over Ruben Vargas further weaken their midfield and forward options.
Real Sociedad, on the other hand, have already secured European football after winning the Copa del Rey and arrive in stronger form, collecting 1.50 points per game. The Basques have been more productive offensively, averaging 1.80 goals per game, and are particularly dangerous away from home where 80% of matches have seen both teams score. Luka Sucic and Pablo Marin are both pushing for starts, adding depth to an already balanced squad.
Head-to-head history is fairly even, but with motivation being on Sevilla's side, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (both defences vulnerable in recent games).
This Primera Division match will be played on Monday 4 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Sevilla vs Real Sociedad prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sevilla 2 - 1 Real Sociedad
Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Isaac Romero @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Isaac Romero @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Andres Castrin @ -150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sevilla 0 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Sevilla +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Sevilla to Win @ -163 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Sevilla to Win/Sevilla to Win @ 275 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Sevilla - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferSevilla Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwddlllwll | 0.90 |
| Home | ddlw | 1.25 |
| Away | wdllll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.02 | 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.17 |
Real Sociedad Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwlwddld | 1.50 |
| Home | wwwdl | 2.00 |
| Away | wlldd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.60 | 1.14 | 2.07 |
Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sevilla (42%)
31 Matches
Real Sociedad (39%)
Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Past Results
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