Valencia and Atletico Madrid square off against each other in an intriguing clash with both sides chasing important objectives. As Valencia want this win more, we predict a 2-1 home triumph. Los Che head into the game on the back of a 2–1 win over Girona and have been strong at home, winning 75% of their last four and averaging 2.00 goals scored. With 2.25 points per game at Mestalla and no fresh injury concerns, they’ll be confident of keeping their Conference League push alive.
Los Rojiblancos, meanwhile, arrive after a dramatic 3–2 win over Athletic Bilbao but have struggled for consistency, picking up just 1.00 point per game across their last 10 matches. Their away form is particularly worrying, with only 0.60 points per game and 2.20 goals conceded on average. However, their matches are highly entertaining, with 80% seeing both teams score and an average of 3.60 total goals. Pablo Barrios is a doubt, which could further impact midfield balance. Anyhow, away win should not be considered as Diego Simeone's men have already booked their place in the Champions League. Additionally, Simeone is likely to rest key players for the Champions League clash against Arsenal.
Valencia aim to move closer to the Conference League berth and given Atlético’s away struggles, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals bets seem tempting as matches involving Atleti average high scoring.
This Primera Division match will be played on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 15:15.
What is our Valencia vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Valencia 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Gabriel Jesus @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Gabriel Jesus @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Jorge Koke @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1.5 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Atletico Madrid +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Arsenal to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Valencia to Win/Valencia to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Arsenal - No @ -175 Odds
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View OfferValencia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwlwlldw | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | wllwld | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.50 | 1.83 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.60 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.26 | 1.05 | 1.39 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwlldlwd | 0.80 |
| Home | lldwd | 1.00 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.94 |
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Valencia (15%)
41 Matches
Atletico Madrid (54%)
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Past Results
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